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Redefining the "72-Hour Rule"

By Judy Bell, CEM


Last week, we all watched with horror and a sense of helplessness as the 72-hour clock ticked away. As the Gulf Coast experienced its "worst case" scenario, desperation and panic drove people to take whatever actions were necessary to survive. Due to their isolation, those who were experiencing the hardships had no way of knowing about the massive recovery effort that was underway. Furthermore, it didn't matter how massive the effort was. In any disaster, great harm is done any time people are separated from their life-sustaining necessities.

Now it will take months to discover what caused that 72-hour clock to tick so interminably long. New "lessons learned" will create lists of action items to streamline the recovery process. Whatever the findings, it is clear that a coordinated community response is not adequate for protecting life-sustaining necessities in a "worst case" scenario.

For years, local, state, and federal agencies have preached the "72-hour Rule," which requires citizens to be self-sustaining for 3 days after a disaster. In support of that rule, they have launched massive public education programs aimed at equipping citizens to be self sustaining. Some citizens have listened and heeded the warnings, particularly when their "worst case" risks were earthquakes that provide no warning before they strike. Others have watched during lesser disasters, noting the coordinated public relief efforts that can quickly deliver medical assistance, food, water, shelter, and other basic necessities. But as we saw last week, coordinated public relief efforts easily bog down when the "worst case" scenario occurs.

Every emergency management professional dreads the consequences of a "worst case" disaster. That is why we plan, test, critique, and improve plans. That is also why we preach the 72-hour rule. But as Hurricane Katrina has now shown, in a "worst case" scenario, that rule does not provide the level of protection we need. It's time to focus on a better way to think about life safety.

Remember 15 years ago, when our profession thought that being able to restore critical systems and telecommunications within 72 hours was acceptable? In those days, we defined what we did as "disaster recovery" instead of "business continuity". Then our industry began to shift its thinking as we realized that it would be far better to continue operating than to recover from interrupted operations. In order to comply, critical businesses like banks and utilities were forced to change their critical processes to ensure continued operations. In the area of life safety, they invested in advance to purchase provisions for employees, to make sure their basic needs would be provided for if they are trapped at work.

That is the lesson we must all learn from Hurricane Katrina. The 72-hour rule requiring citizens to be self-sustaining on their own is no longer realistic. Disasters of the magnitude we just witnessed will continue. When it comes to human needs, we must create solutions in advance that will provide continuity for life-sustaining necessities, and this continuity must persist until organized relief can arrive. Everyone should take action now, whether we're in the public or private sector, to be a part of that solution. The phrase "plan today…survive tomorrow" has never been truer than now.


About the Author
Judy Bell is president and CEO of Disaster Survival Planning Network, an international consulting firm that has been assisting businesses, utilities, government agencies, colleges and universities, and community organizations in preparing enterprise-wide business continuity programs since 1988. She is a Certified Emergency Manager (CEM) through the International Association of Emergency Managers (IAEM).

 
 
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